Siena
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 90.4018Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 7-23 214 H Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 14-10 217 H Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 14- 5 224 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 21- 9 228 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 6-13 303 A Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 11- 7 307 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 18-11 321 H Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 325 A Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 11-10 328 H Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 10- 5 404 A Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 24- 7 411 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 15-11 414 A Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 7- 9 418 A Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 14-12 422 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 6-14 430 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 12-11 o 502 H Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 8-12 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Boston University 7-23 -16 -6 -1.35
214 H Hofstra 14-10 4 3 1.45
217 H Binghamton 14- 5 9 5 1.69
224 H Air Force 21- 9 12 0 +++ 6.56
228 A Dartmouth 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.87
303 A Le Moyne 11- 7 4 4 0.14
307 A Quinnipiac 18-11 7 2 ++ 5.18
321 H Manhattan 15- 9 6 6 -0.43
325 A Marist 11-10 1 -2 + 2.79
328 H Canisius 10- 5 5 6 -1.44
404 A Iona 24- 7 17 5 + 2.23
411 H Sacred Heart 15-11 4 1 + 3.11
414 A Albany 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.01
418 A Mount St Marys 14-12 2 3 -1.49
422 H Merrimack 6-14 -8 3 --- -10.31
430 H Merrimack 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.31
502 H Marist 8-12 o -4 1 -- -4.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Merrimack 6-14 -8 3 --- -10.31 502 H Marist 8-12 o -4 1 -- -4.96 228 A Dartmouth 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.87 430 H Merrimack 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Air Force 21- 9 12 0 +++ 6.56 307 A Quinnipiac 18-11 7 2 ++ 5.18 325 A Marist 11-10 1 -2 + 2.79 404 A Iona 24- 7 17 5 + 2.23 411 H Sacred Heart 15-11 4 1 + 3.11 414 A Albany 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 7-23 -5.22 15.38 1.38 0.84 -1.62
3 H Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 14-10 -10.67 9.92 -1.38 0.84 14.39
3 H Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 14- 5 -13.44 7.16 -1.38 0.84 9.75
3 H Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 21- 9 -8.57 12.03 -1.38 0.84 17.94
3 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 6-13 -6.75 13.85 1.38 0.84 -2.26
3 A Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 11- 7 -14.73 5.87 1.38 0.84 12.19
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 18-11 -12.69 7.91 1.38 0.84 15.63
3 H Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 0.84 7.86
3 A Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 11-10 -9.08 11.52 1.38 0.84 21.70
3 H Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 10- 5 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 0.84 7.85
3 A Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 24- 7 -15.64 4.95 1.38 0.84 10.66
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 15-11 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 0.84 17.18
3 A Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 7- 9 -6.86 13.74 1.38 0.84 -2.31
3 A Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 14-12 -14.36 6.24 1.38 0.84 12.82
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 6-14 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.84 -5.39
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 12-11 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.84 13.12
3 H Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 8-12 -9.08 11.52 -1.38 0.84 -4.40
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145.11
|
winning pts = 161.0908 losing points = -15.9808
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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